Euroleague · resolved market
CB Breogan Lugo vs. Basquet Girona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12f9bb9a9128398eae244f2146e903af645776987da00f095a030fa124049213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CB Breogan Lugoof CB Breogan Lugo, Basquet Girona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Basquet Girona | 26c | 1,341$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.4 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Basquet Girona | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Basquet Girona | 3c | 939$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed CB Breogan Lugo | 66c | 756.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Basquet Girona | 26c | 481.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Basquet Girona | 15c | 349.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed CB Breogan Lugo | 75c | 318.81$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Basquet Girona | 33c | 296.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Basquet Girona | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Basquet Girona | 36c | 155$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CB Breogan Lugo | 74c | 154.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Basquet Girona | 17c | 138.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed CB Breogan Lugo | 63c | 124.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Basquet Girona | 35c | 111.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 74c | 107.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Basquet Girona | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Basquet Girona | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Basquet Girona | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed CB Breogan Lugo | 61c | 56.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed CB Breogan Lugo | 74c | 49.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Basquet Girona | 26c | 39.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked CB Breogan Lugo | 75c | 28.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e12…a41cbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 50c | 26.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked CB Breogan Lugo | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x572c…b05ebacked Basquet Girona | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c33…50a6backed CB Breogan Lugo | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…426dbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 61c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 73c | 20.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed CB Breogan Lugo | 75c | 15.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CB Breogan Lugo | 74c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.