Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Valinor (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12fe11ca5437dca8919ae90549deb0d25ac623c601918c60255b0f3993ac77cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, Valinor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Valinor | 1c | 3,882$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833f…f564backed Valinor | 36c | 1,004$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0006…87b6backed Valinor | 36c | 980$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…6c62backed Valinor | 36c | 957$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae96…e1a2backed Valinor | 36c | 937$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…7743backed Valinor | 36c | 907$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a74…2ffebacked Valinor | 36c | 880$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…9162backed Valinor | 36c | 880$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…19d0backed Valinor | 36c | 810$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…c525backed Valinor | 35c | 715$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…2ca3backed Power Rangers | 64c | 588$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4643…4166backed Power Rangers | 64c | 550$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…e76abacked Power Rangers | 64c | 520$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…4456backed Power Rangers | 64c | 520$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x458f…124bbacked Power Rangers | 64c | 483$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…41debacked Power Rangers | 64c | 474$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…e4e2backed Power Rangers | 64c | 471$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x493b…1541backed Power Rangers | 64c | 466$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…1b62backed Power Rangers | 64c | 460$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…b1b6backed Power Rangers | 64c | 460$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…13e4backed Power Rangers | 64c | 454$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…cd84backed Power Rangers | 64c | 422$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…b7b5backed Power Rangers | 64c | 420$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd378…7ec9backed Power Rangers | 65c | 417$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9a…4215backed Power Rangers | 64c | 388$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…fcacbacked Power Rangers | 64c | 360$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…5ebcbacked Power Rangers | 64c | 319$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Valinor | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Power Rangers | 68c | 298.51$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…5fe5backed Power Rangers | 65c | 298$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Power Rangers | 71c | 229.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Valinor | 29c | 178.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 80c | 136.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked Power Rangers | 74c | 124.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valinor | 26c | 79.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Valinor | 28c | 62.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Power Rangers | 73c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Valinor | 30c | 51.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Power Rangers | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Valinor (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Cthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Valinor - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Valinor - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.