Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs Chivas Esports (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: ACE Masters Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1317351efdcaa0ea745f41447b95f33bc5158ae242c05c2346533fb089e9f160
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tezcat Gamingof Tezcat Gaming, Chivas Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Tezcat Gaming | 60c | 505.58$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.05 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Tezcat Gaming | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Chivas Esports | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Chivas Esports | 39c | 441.5$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Tezcat Gaming | 61c | 392.59$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.11 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chivas Esports | 44c | 334.63$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.24 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Tezcat Gaming | 56c | 228.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Chivas Esports | 34c | 198.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed Chivas Esports | 41c | 175.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Chivas Esports | 46c | 169.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Tezcat Gaming | 66c | 165.76$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Chivas Esports | 39c | 140.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Tezcat Gaming | 58c | 138.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Chivas Esports | 41c | 129.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Tezcat Gaming | 60c | 127.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Chivas Esports | 46c | 121.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Chivas Esports | 46c | 116.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…770ebacked Chivas Esports | 41c | 105.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Chivas Esports | 46c | 95.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Chivas Esports | 42c | 75.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tezcat Gaming | 67c | 61.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Chivas Esports | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked Tezcat Gaming | 60c | 48.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…a39fbacked Tezcat Gaming | 64c | 44.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed Tezcat Gaming | 59c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Tezcat Gaming | 67c | 34.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Chivas Esports | 41c | 33.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Chivas Esports | 46c | 31.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Tezcat Gaming | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Tezcat Gaming | 59c | 29.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Chivas Esports | 38c | 27.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Chivas Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Tezcat Gaming | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Tezcat Gaming | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed Tezcat Gaming | 67c | 15.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs Chivas Esports (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: ACE Masters Group Athis page
- Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs Chivas Esports - Map 2 WinnerTezcat Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.