Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $130 December 8-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1340703cf8699706bd70b8f03d3890e2f3bc3b96c1e62e25395a2fc1e45cd674
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 48c | 22,500$10,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,784.98 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 22c | 11,554$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.53 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…766dbacked No | 27c | 5,079$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.02 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 20c | 372$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 73c | 350$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.18 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 27c | 302.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09f…7054backed No | 15c | 251.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…46efbacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…6981backed No | 44c | 177.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked No | 16c | 165.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked No | 16c | 164.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Yes | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…0592backed No | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 106$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…bb93backed No | 27c | 93.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…3675backed Yes | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…b838backed No | 35c | 89.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 54c | 69.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf4…cc11backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 30.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2173…2869backed Yes | 72c | 28.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 74c | 27.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $130 December 8-14?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 December 8-14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 December 8-14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 December 8-14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 December 8-14?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 December 8-14?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 December 8-14?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 December 8-14?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 December 8-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.