Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Krakow Men: Pawel Juszczak vs Michael Agwi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x136d06cd0bfa46e100a8a73bc5abc5bf30b5819d841a00daa45f84decc72d2d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Agwiof Pawel Juszczak, Michael Agwi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…af79backed Pawel Juszczak | 40c | 869.24$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Michael Agwi | 74c | 411.64$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michael Agwi | 66c | 292.45$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pawel Juszczak | 26c | 263$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michael Agwi | 62c | 182.89$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Michael Agwi | 65c | 170.71$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pawel Juszczak | 24c | 130.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…c501backed Pawel Juszczak | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Michael Agwi | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Michael Agwi | 74c | 78.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Michael Agwi | 73c | 77.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pawel Juszczak | 31c | 72.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Michael Agwi | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…0a41backed Pawel Juszczak | 22c | 66.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Michael Agwi | 69c | 65.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Pawel Juszczak | 33c | 43.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Michael Agwi | 72c | 41.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Michael Agwi | 68c | 27.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Michael Agwi | 73c | 25.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Michael Agwi | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Michael Agwi | 66c | 15.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Krakow Men: Pawel Juszczak vs Michael Agwithis page
- ITF M15 Krakow Men: Completed Match: Pawel Juszczak vs Michael AgwiYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.