South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1371dad549bc2231d27868388193a61decc95a15df3fb6a21111e8aab5728043
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 61c | 7,500$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.99 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 38c | 4,599$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.74 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 39c | 4,385$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 2,921$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.34 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 2,655$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.6 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 49c | 2,120$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.51 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 42c | 2,114$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.81 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 48c | 1,030$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.44 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 782.38$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.29 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 46c | 731$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.74 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 60c | 418$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 28c | 402.01$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.57 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 57c | 396.73$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.95 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…775fbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 25c | 292.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 54c | 278.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 52c | 247.07$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 53c | 245.85$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 238.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 61c | 224.59$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…7437backed No | 35c | 147.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 113.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes | 65c | 111.87$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 87.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6d…1e14backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 53c | 75.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 38c | 66.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…4e6bbacked No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed No | 48c | 58.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 53.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked Yes | 55c | 45.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Yes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 53c | 37.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc53…5ce3backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 40c | 31.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked No | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked No | 41c | 29.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 61c | 26.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…9e2bbacked Yes | 58c | 25.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e3cabacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 34cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x278c…b446backed No | 74c | 20.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…65d0backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 56c | 19.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af7…f5a8backed Yes | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will CA Independiente vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.