Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Southern Jaguars (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13a423344e7793e3aa432e0a7e9202c2656735ee7bc021ecb0ec0c9c9c915e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsof Southern Jaguars, Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,311 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 55c | 4,736$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.51 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southern Jaguars | 45c | 2,981$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Southern Jaguars | 45c | 593.99$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.44 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Jaguars | 45c | 559.46$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 53c | 314.89$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Jaguars | 52c | 267.66$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Southern Jaguars | 49c | 182.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 48c | 128.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Southern Jaguars | 48c | 128.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Southern Jaguars | 52c | 121.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Southern Jaguars | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 47c | 86.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southern Jaguars | 50c | 68.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Southern Jaguars | 48c | 62.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Southern Jaguars | 47c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Southern Jaguars | 50c | 44.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Southern Jaguars | 45c | 40.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 53c | 19.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Southern Jaguars (-5.5)this page
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern JaguarsSouthern Jaguars won
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 154.5Over won
- Spread: Southern Jaguars (-4.5)Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.