Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duquesne Dukes vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13b2296e850536f00ac13fd94ab1f415c22408f7e4b328d491d206411e0377c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 11,790$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,660.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 51c | 6,843$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.52 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 53c | 5,130$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.4 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Over | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…c092backed Over | 4c | 1,431$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Over | 2c | 1,300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…960cbacked Over | 5c | 1,300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +303.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Over | 3c | 879.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 48c | 630$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 51c | 402.04$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 49c | 402.04$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 369.53$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.97 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…dc40backed Under | 53c | 59.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 32.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 52c | 32.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 48c | 25.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duquesne Dukes vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 152.5this page
- Duquesne Dukes vs. St. Bonaventure BonniesDuquesne Dukes won
- Duquesne Dukes vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: St. Bonaventure Bonnies (-1.5)Duquesne Dukes won
- Spread: St. Bonaventure Bonnies (-2.5)Duquesne Dukes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.