TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Duquesne Dukes vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Duquesne Dukesof Duquesne Dukes, St. Bonaventure Bonnies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa1a9…e22ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies55c4,058$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.937441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Duquesne Dukes45c3,812$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.355740.4%23 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c3,630$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.9789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Duquesne Dukes47c3,461$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.1937947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies48c1,809$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.021,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Duquesne Dukes58c1,744$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.485349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Duquesne Dukes62c1,617$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.543,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8348…de9fbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20300%0 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies40c836.52$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.5268254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Duquesne Dukes70c752.36$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.225,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Duquesne Dukes61c719$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.391,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies41c698.1$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.214354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Duquesne Dukes53c654$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.752,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies31c525$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.256331.7%20 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Duquesne Dukes59c439.22$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.512,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Duquesne Dukes45c417.03$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.3712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies38c372.51$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.782759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies54c314.81$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies35c283.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies40c272.66$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.924,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f8bcbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies44c269$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.761947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Duquesne Dukes59c251.92$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.531,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies42c235.72$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3512230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Duquesne Dukes48c209.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.058257.3%47 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies14c208.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.181,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Duquesne Dukes46c198.06$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.632,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies37c185.68$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.74,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Duquesne Dukes58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d48…eca0backed Duquesne Dukes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies46c101.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1913845.7%63 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Duquesne Dukes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5438351.7%198 W · 185 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Duquesne Dukes46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies67c91$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.971,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Duquesne Dukes46c73.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.454,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies25c63.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.691,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Duquesne Dukes58c61.28$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.941,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies46c53.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.821,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Duquesne Dukes47c53.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.488353%44 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2764658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.510755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Duquesne Dukes34c43.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7120234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies48c43.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies54c43.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.499045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies55c40.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2223363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Duquesne Dukes68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7720248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies38c39.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec3…4db1backed Duquesne Dukes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Duquesne Dukes45c22.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2625230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies57c19.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8993247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Duquesne Dukes53c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.92,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f6c…d674backed Duquesne Dukes61c16.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.