TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Vexa - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
largadosypeladosof largadosypelados, Vexa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,618
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,618 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Vexa18c2,942$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.523,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked largadosypelados79c933.63$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.365,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Vexa21c314.29$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6623732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Vexa15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5900…45ebbacked Vexa18c230.27$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.454856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Vexa22c211.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0555843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked largadosypelados78c193$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.734,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed Vexa21c191.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408936%32 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Vexa22c169.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.084,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Vexa18c168.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.836,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Vexa18c128$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.677946.8%37 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked largadosypelados77c104.6$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.062,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c7e…f02fbacked Vexa13c76.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed largadosypelados79c30.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.411,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed largadosypelados80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.071,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed largadosypelados80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed largadosypelados77c14.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2315351.6%79 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.