South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Talleres vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x142f7a655978bc4cab1c0396019083b7c88048626371b7b0ae6e89f66960df24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 5,159$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.24 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Over | 42c | 3,914$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 39c | 1,385$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.28 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 45c | 653.7$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.15 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Under | 65c | 566.12$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 73c | 282.6$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 48c | 201.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 198.38$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Over | 37c | 141.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 40c | 105.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 104.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 25c | 102.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 61c | 99.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…6f83backed Over | 35c | 98.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 62c | 94.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 61c | 63.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Under | 63c | 49.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 65c | 45.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 60c | 43.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 65c | 43.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 65c | 42.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked Over | 37c | 37.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Under | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 20 | 95%19 W · 1 L | +7.8wins | +0.39per pick | 56cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…9b83backed Over | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Talleres vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Talleres vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)CA Talleres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.