Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1447dd8d32093551d23e075a6dc3735750298898f4705aafa0d5d09638be249c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.65 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 818.16$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 6c | 375.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 285.74$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 200.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 53c | 193.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 55c | 176.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 47c | 81.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 74.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 71.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 49.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 53c | 45.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 54c | 44.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 48c | 41.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 49c | 41.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 54c | 24.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 53c | 19.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 2.5this page
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.