CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1452c6c5433dced26b4602e66381740bd7f39edf8eefaa756676f2caabb33758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EYEBALLERSof Alliance, EYEBALLERS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,825 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Alliance | 67c | 1,307$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.59 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked EYEBALLERS | 66c | 1,211$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.03 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked EYEBALLERS | 44c | 1,098$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.33 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Alliance | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Alliance | 24c | 813.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.57 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed EYEBALLERS | 39c | 747.7$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.36 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed EYEBALLERS | 65c | 603.87$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.07 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked EYEBALLERS | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Alliance | 56c | 332.63$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.27 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed EYEBALLERS | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Alliance | 8c | 285$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed EYEBALLERS | 37c | 266.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked EYEBALLERS | 21c | 260$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.1 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alliance | 30c | 247.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed Alliance | 60c | 217.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked EYEBALLERS | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Alliance | 63c | 171.54$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Alliance | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Alliance | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Alliance | 31c | 133$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Alliance | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Alliance | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Alliance | 39c | 98.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed EYEBALLERS | 21c | 94.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Alliance | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked EYEBALLERS | 73c | 83.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Alliance | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Alliance | 22c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed EYEBALLERS | 45c | 44.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alliance | 24c | 43.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Alliance | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Alliance | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed EYEBALLERS | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1810…f93cbacked Alliance | 53c | 24.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…b0e0backed Alliance | 79c | 17.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Alliance | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Journey Group DEYEBALLERS won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.