Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x147511ee3e905d79ab69fed615ae7f3f9fe09a2862aab282ba3e63056b95126f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 76c | 1,600$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,250$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.19 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,084$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.11 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 990.31$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.58 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 897.73$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.86 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 24c | 756.08$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 645.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 630$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 25c | 544.83$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 25c | 510.26$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 4c | 468.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 23c | 404.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 303.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 80c | 268.75$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 6c | 245.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…0156backed Yes | 22c | 218.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Yes | 8c | 205.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 204.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 21c | 190.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes | 23c | 151.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 75c | 124$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 79c | 108$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 78c | 107$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 20c | 103.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 14c | 99.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 28c | 98.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 79c | 93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 13c | 83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 77c | 79.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 78.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 25c | 63.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 76c | 50.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 45.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 25c | 45.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 76c | 35.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 77c | 31.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…0ef8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 75c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.