Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wichita: Julia Garcia Ruiz vs Clervie Ngounoue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x148fa2ede7f0f1e3e546976575efd279544506a73d2b7c63a9d0c3f3802b11ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clervie Ngounoueof Julia Garcia Ruiz, Clervie Ngounoue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Julia Garcia Ruiz | 11c | 650$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Julia Garcia Ruiz | 30c | 591.47$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Clervie Ngounoue | 74c | 404.25$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Julia Garcia Ruiz | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Julia Garcia Ruiz | 12c | 333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Clervie Ngounoue | 72c | 293.25$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Julia Garcia Ruiz | 12c | 266.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…a90dbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Julia Garcia Ruiz | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Clervie Ngounoue | 64c | 99.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Julia Garcia Ruiz | 28c | 57.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 62c | 29.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.