Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Joseph's vs. George Mason
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14a9ad3fc374d6fbc570c686f50c95f69018df2a1643850c1d503a1dcd163844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- George Masonof St. Joseph's, George Mason
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked George Mason | 63c | 1,301$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.46 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed St. Joseph's | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed St. Joseph's | 2c | 696.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed George Mason | 14c | 553.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.23 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed St. Joseph's | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1116…44c0backed St. Joseph's | 51c | 263$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…04acbacked George Mason | 49c | 230$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1689…a4f1backed St. Joseph's | 69c | 135$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…2535backed George Mason | 63c | 109$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…df05backed George Mason | 31c | 109$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked George Mason | 51c | 103$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…becfbacked George Mason | 49c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6336…c1a2backed George Mason | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798f…ab79backed St. Joseph's | 69c | 52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba7…bdc9backed St. Joseph's | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…98e0backed St. Joseph's | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…7286backed St. Joseph's | 41c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…9febbacked St. Joseph's | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb245…7631backed St. Joseph's | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc9…9bfabacked St. Joseph's | 37c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…f77dbacked St. Joseph's | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…de5ebacked George Mason | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef6…de5cbacked St. Joseph's | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d7…760dbacked George Mason | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca90…2938backed George Mason | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…a9f4backed St. Joseph's | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked George Mason | 61c | 34.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb560…535bbacked St. Joseph's | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…4651backed St. Joseph's | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed George Mason | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked St. Joseph's | 33c | 30.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…77dfbacked George Mason | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…3035backed George Mason | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cd…82a5backed George Mason | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350f…1883backed St. Joseph's | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb280…c71fbacked St. Joseph's | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…760abacked St. Joseph's | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…8709backed George Mason | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…b1eebacked St. Joseph's | 69c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…24e3backed St. Joseph's | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…4d42backed George Mason | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…ff99backed St. Joseph's | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…0aa3backed St. Joseph's | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.