Euroleague · resolved market
Zhejiang Lions vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14b6f8aac0160916beacc5e2307750879d48d4de9da8df7d11edc8cad0f795df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Lionsof Zhejiang Lions, Jilin Northeast Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,735 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 21c | 3,982$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.54 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Zhejiang Lions | 79c | 3,912$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.58 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 19c | 1,372$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 15c | 966.07$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.15 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Zhejiang Lions | 78c | 750$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 16c | 638$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 15c | 631$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 10c | 569.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 10c | 500.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 24c | 423.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 15c | 414$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 13c | 356.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 17c | 299$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 14c | 290$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 10c | 281.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 9c | 267.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 11c | 237.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 18c | 235$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 16c | 192.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 12c | 164.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 10c | 163.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 10c | 133.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 22c | 76.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 15c | 69.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 17c | 68.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 20c | 57.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Zhejiang Lions | 80c | 32.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…192abacked Zhejiang Lions | 78c | 12.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.