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CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: ENCE (-1.5) vs eternal premium (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ENCEof ENCE, eternal premium
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,991 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7460…de6ebacked eternal premium56c2,252$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.2344951%229 W · 220 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ENCE44c1,478$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.828,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed ENCE38c405.37$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8623146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked eternal premium63c174.6$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014057.9%81 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked eternal premium52c151.78$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.81,17748.2%567 W · 610 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked ENCE44c136.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.591,67332.7%547 W · 1,126 L-48.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed ENCE49c125.26$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1577351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed ENCE44c79.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.551,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed ENCE44c56.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7841853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed ENCE44c54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2447856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked ENCE44c51.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6274653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed ENCE44c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.651446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked eternal premium58c28.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3115648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked ENCE42c28.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.312661.5%16 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+45.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed ENCE44c27.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2724152.3%126 W · 115 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f23…441fbacked ENCE44c24.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.532445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed ENCE58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.47856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.