CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15470fa0ce00b49ce5683128dcb7d6d3ff0b9e47c2dbfba73f7c99f8b6268c2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof UNiTY esports, BASEMENT BOYS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked UNiTY esports | 56c | 608.61$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.82 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed UNiTY esports | 57c | 448.86$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.37 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked UNiTY esports | 43c | 363.72$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked UNiTY esports | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed BASEMENT BOYS | 44c | 208.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 57c | 208$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed BASEMENT BOYS | 43c | 196.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BASEMENT BOYS | 65c | 177.48$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 43c | 165.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 158$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 43c | 130$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 72c | 114.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 43c | 82.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked UNiTY esports | 18c | 81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 42c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed BASEMENT BOYS | 43c | 30.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 22.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked UNiTY esports | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - XPortal PlayoffsBASEMENT BOYS won
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 WinnerUNiTY esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.