Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Columbia vs. Dartmouth
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x154914c8b12be72cfa220466ab933b4ad7f5640056a7ab8d6f4afca7dfeb2212
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dartmouthof Columbia, Dartmouth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Columbia | 51c | 9,904$5,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.45 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed Dartmouth | 56c | 3,827$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dartmouth | 49c | 2,808$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.59 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Columbia | 49c | 2,072$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Dartmouth | 56c | 1,870$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.64 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Dartmouth | 65c | 904.88$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.72 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Dartmouth | 51c | 792.8$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.91 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Columbia | 3c | 628.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Columbia | 32c | 587.69$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.06 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Columbia | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Dartmouth | 51c | 467.48$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.08 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Dartmouth | 51c | 310$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f71…ae15backed Dartmouth | 55c | 273$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Dartmouth | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dartmouth | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Dartmouth | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +873.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Columbia | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Dartmouth | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3337…e789backed Columbia | 50c | 134.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a11…905cbacked Columbia | 45c | 107$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…1f61backed Columbia | 45c | 96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…678abacked Dartmouth | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4391…854dbacked Columbia | 45c | 83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…04acbacked Dartmouth | 55c | 81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…7743backed Columbia | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…57a8backed Columbia | 45c | 76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…35d1backed Dartmouth | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Dartmouth | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…4546backed Columbia | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…08a2backed Columbia | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…1178backed Dartmouth | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Dartmouth | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Dartmouth | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33d1…e528backed Columbia | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaab…fc7cbacked Columbia | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2327…67d5backed Columbia | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaf…79f2backed Columbia | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Dartmouth | 57c | 44.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2e…a4e5backed Dartmouth | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…b02cbacked Columbia | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…1bd6backed Dartmouth | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…06febacked Columbia | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…8bbfbacked Dartmouth | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb36…a262backed Columbia | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…0f2cbacked Dartmouth | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7904…adaabacked Columbia | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…8c73backed Dartmouth | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e93…0661backed Dartmouth | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…c3c8backed Dartmouth | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…da4cbacked Dartmouth | 66c | 25.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…3a4abacked Dartmouth | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…dfb9backed Dartmouth | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Dartmouth | 53c | 21.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…4cc0backed Dartmouth | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…eb8fbacked Dartmouth | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…3bc9backed Dartmouth | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…c4fabacked Dartmouth | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.