La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. Celta Vigo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x158c4e882bcf1ed6f61d7d2a23b265505c6b4b2ac8802500631b40634ea937a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 42c | 116$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 39c | 106.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 33c | 67.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…30e9backed Yes | 61c | 56.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed No | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. Celta Vigo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Levante UD vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Celta Vigo (-0.5)Celta Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.