Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Partizan Beograd win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x159376ce78fdf9dafb626b22c8cf89263c6af2c95387fe4344fd46d30300c94a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 9c | 5,067$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.34 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 19c | 1,211$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.28 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 2c | 1,191$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 4c | 695.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 12c | 643.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 25c | 500.76$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked No | 17c | 499.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +10.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 4c | 458.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 8c | 453.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed No | 3c | 385.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 43c | 300.02$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Yes | 55c | 299.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 12c | 161$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed No | 14c | 159.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 16c | 145.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 13c | 145.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 13c | 141.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 78c | 121.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 76c | 97.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 15c | 68.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 26c | 59.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked No | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Partizan Beograd win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FC UNA Strassen win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will FK Partizan Beograd vs. FC UNA Strassen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.