CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs SPARTA (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15a4bc5700968c6880ed70736b3526617ce60d9e4e36f86d946492def57aeee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oxuji Esportsof Oxuji Esports, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2067…7350backed SPARTA | 48c | 412.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Oxuji Esports | 68c | 350.79$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.91 | 455 | 65.9%300 W · 155 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…de7fbacked SPARTA | 35c | 297.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed SPARTA | 63c | 291.51$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Oxuji Esports | 52c | 240.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.42 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed SPARTA | 48c | 229.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oxuji Esports | 49c | 203.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked SPARTA | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Oxuji Esports | 62c | 175.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed SPARTA | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Oxuji Esports | 49c | 121.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 310 | 51.3%159 W · 151 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Oxuji Esports | 57c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Oxuji Esports | 59c | 118.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Oxuji Esports | 65c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed SPARTA | 33c | 90.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Oxuji Esports | 25c | 84.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 262 | 45.4%119 W · 143 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Oxuji Esports | 53c | 35.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Oxuji Esports | 54c | 28.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 408 | 56.9%232 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked SPARTA | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs SPARTA (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerOxuji Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.