Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC København vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15c2d3eb0cd1e15990a10d172362a0f53ac7f7e8e8fcbb4af80977dce434036d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 63c | 302,480$190,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,984.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 37c | 198,840$73,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,570.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 37c | 50,000$18,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 17,818$6,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,604.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 13,869$5,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 38c | 3,855$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 37c | 3,333$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 37c | 2,111$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 40c | 805.42$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 34c | 695.26$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Under | 49c | 611.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…73a1backed Over | 63c | 306.31$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 63c | 305.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 37c | 240.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 37c | 236$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 57c | 174.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Over | 63c | 160.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…5f52backed Over | 63c | 158.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…97e1backed Under | 38c | 155.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed Under | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 118.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 18c | 113.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…eb28backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 64c | 78.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 66.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 80c | 61.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…2477backed Under | 38c | 60.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…78b8backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…7404backed Under | 32c | 34.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 38c | 31.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0937backed Under | 38c | 31.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…0a3abacked Over | 62c | 22.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4a…dd45backed Over | 57c | 18.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC København vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 2.5this page
- FC København vs. FC Nordsjælland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC København vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC København vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.