Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1693f1c0877cb4be8cccc8f6df9406608a3fd5fccb4e05ea3e971a1b81828814
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 52c | 3,283$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.69 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 38c | 1,042$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.52 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 52c | 803.66$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.76 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 49c | 582$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 541.12$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 60c | 461.94$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 328$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 35c | 249.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 247.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 59c | 235$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 228.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 48c | 199.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…36f0backed Yes | 52c | 192.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 38c | 131.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 45c | 121.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…dca3backed Yes | 52c | 116$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 48c | 109.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 48c | 74.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 74c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a90…324bbacked No | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…5a57backed No | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 43c | 55.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 69c | 50.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 47c | 31.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked No | 48c | 31.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 50c | 29.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…72fbbacked Yes | 52c | 21.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-30?No won
- Will Hibernian FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.