Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x169630850c9dd83b27a528c45d3869923d7fc8d91ec2d04cc406b8c305980c54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 50c | 1,252$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.64 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Under | 43c | 1,100$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Under | 44c | 957.85$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…1a59backed Over | 56c | 785.16$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Under | 44c | 554.02$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Over | 56c | 551.3$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 57c | 459.73$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 57c | 445.35$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.9 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 57c | 436.72$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.55 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Under | 42c | 245.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 191.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 334 | 54.8%183 W · 151 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…435ebacked Over | 56c | 115.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Over | 56c | 104.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 44c | 81.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Over | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…13ffbacked Over | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Over | 56c | 23.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed Under | 44c | 23.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.