Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Samford vs. Wofford
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1698dc6785178ae48bd1c8b40a1d13a8d2ce55d0d8f5030954c0e200ee83aab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samfordof Samford, Wofford
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Samford | 51c | 3,844$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.56 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Samford | 2c | 998.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wofford | 48c | 453.8$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.82 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Samford | 52c | 113$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7a…07c0backed Samford | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…cfdfbacked Wofford | 42c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…deccbacked Wofford | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003e…3a12backed Samford | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9468backed Wofford | 47c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…1293backed Wofford | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…8711backed Samford | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Wofford | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Samford | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…0b05backed Wofford | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…ef56backed Samford | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…da8cbacked Samford | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…2979backed Wofford | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…c8bebacked Samford | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f5…2a99backed Wofford | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…8ffdbacked Wofford | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…3982backed Samford | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…27f0backed Wofford | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…5353backed Samford | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Samford | 58c | 27.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…8957backed Samford | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec9e…10dfbacked Wofford | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…595fbacked Samford | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454d…e766backed Samford | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7733…bcd0backed Samford | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.