CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ENCE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x169f6333a096085b399dc0d4290d76be14778937f08d44c7a53693e46cd1ec34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Atreides, ENCE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eac…e409backed ENCE | 55c | 777$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.35 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 44c | 528.28$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ENCE | 50c | 387.48$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.74 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked ENCE | 62c | 335.66$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.11 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Atreides | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Atreides | 42c | 202.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed ENCE | 50c | 167.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Atreides | 50c | 167.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Atreides | 58c | 164.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ENCE | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…210ebacked Atreides | 77c | 104$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8db7…5143backed Atreides | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Atreides | 44c | 97.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 56c | 86.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…a2dfbacked ENCE | 57c | 40.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked Atreides | 50c | 31.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Atreides | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ENCE (BO3) - XPortal PlayoffsAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ENCE - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.