TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, MOUZ NXT
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,330 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ NXT14c1,080$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.143,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed MOUZ NXT19c880.39$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2613332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked MOUZ NXT43c693.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Nuclear TigeRES57c693.86$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30039248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT21c633.7$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.816,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ NXT14c474.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3280744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed MOUZ NXT35c392$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.226147.1%123 W · 138 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Nuclear TigeRES59c383.54$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5452947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ NXT17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5146545.6%212 W · 253 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed Nuclear TigeRES75c266.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8113347.4%63 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ NXT41c254.54$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.361,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Nuclear TigeRES66c125.21$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.941,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ NXT17c121.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.692,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nuclear TigeRES74c103.37$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0452755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT15c85.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.227,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT23c74.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.325,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked MOUZ NXT17c65.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0811837.3%44 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1c7…06c8backed Nuclear TigeRES65c26.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb070…4761backed Nuclear TigeRES61c21.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.393360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.