CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6105b2e1a5d26fbac6d4342d18a9c20daab185c7e3d44401f02f2d1b73c16ec7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof Nuclear TigeRES, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 3,987$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.56 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 31c | 3,366$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.75 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 1,820$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.23 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 1,204$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.59 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 1,064$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 884.94$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.92 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd7…ebb7backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 742.93$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.98 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 433.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.87 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 432.3$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.94 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 410.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.52 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…7818backed MOUZ NXT | 18c | 405.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 401.39$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 53c | 357.67$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 320.08$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.08 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed MOUZ NXT | 31c | 311.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.11 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ NXT | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c7…06c8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 257.49$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Nuclear TigeRES | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 240.03$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed MOUZ NXT | 11c | 188.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.51 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 160.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 125.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 120.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 112$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed MOUZ NXT | 25c | 105$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…fb7abacked MOUZ NXT | 29c | 93.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 82.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 81.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 70.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ NXT | 29c | 69.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 53.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…5452backed Nuclear TigeRES | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed MOUZ NXT | 29c | 49.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…570cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 73c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 20.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 PlayoffsMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.