Champions League · resolved market
Will Benfica beat Auckland City?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16bcd40739c7096de15f037d3e9dc8151670f3e65e7874a153bb79e392ff000c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 2c | 32,959$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.38 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 1c | 20,060$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.16 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 2c | 8,527$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…c83fbacked No | 2c | 5,060$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 2c | 4,313$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 2c | 4,239$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 1c | 4,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 1c | 3,050$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 2c | 2,842$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 3c | 2,659$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 1c | 1,570$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 1c | 1,256$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 1c | 1,007$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…d597backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…a3fabacked No | 2c | 968.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7145…89e6backed No | 2c | 886.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 7c | 657$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 3c | 361.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…29b1backed No | 6c | 333.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…7057backed No | 4c | 302.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benfica beat Auckland City?this page
- Will Auckland City beat Benfica?No won
- Will Benfica vs. Auckland City end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.