Other European Leagues · resolved market
IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17409e409a965fec00600d2c4a3f07d70b02ca68b9445047df4cc831f0ac00bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 2,147$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 32c | 1,771$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.79 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 13c | 844.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 63c | 524.11$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.95 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 6c | 320$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +8.9wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 49c | 191$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 51c | 191$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…2fe3backed Over | 55c | 125.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 49c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 68c | 23.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 65c | 18.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5this page
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: Hammarby IF O/U 1.5Under won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)IF Brommapojkarna won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)IF Brommapojkarna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.