Other European Leagues · resolved market
IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aa89cfa94698744cb8e2f284021434eb1133e3a04afc8881976b0a55cbe46fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 1c | 2,068$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 1,475$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 20c | 1,387$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.15 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 1c | 1,378$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 2c | 879.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 19c | 872.36$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.52 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 54c | 798.15$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.15 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 64c | 776.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.42 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…925dbacked Over | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 75c | 505.32$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 9c | 460$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 35c | 400$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…6eb7backed Over | 78c | 127.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 22c | 125.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 18c | 121.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 54c | 73.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 30c | 59.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 39c | 48.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 62c | 18.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 0.5this page
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: Hammarby IF O/U 1.5Under won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5Under won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)IF Brommapojkarna won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)IF Brommapojkarna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.