Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17583738e9fe56e98291378e5afc7ed067c9e6e4cbbe46bc6a76bca8ed13fcfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,960 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Over | 29c | 1,639$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.25 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Under | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 32c | 1,001$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7ec8backed Under | 68c | 851.7$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.13 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…62d2backed Under | 67c | 375$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…a2c4backed Under | 67c | 244$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9336…4c2bbacked Under | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 33c | 138.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…133ebacked Over | 33c | 135$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Under | 71c | 125.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…c58cbacked Over | 33c | 109$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa6…e213backed Over | 33c | 102$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b82…2812backed Over | 33c | 102$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396e…b86fbacked Over | 33c | 102$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Under | 70c | 101.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db5…5504backed Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 77c | 93.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…a032backed Over | 33c | 91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…88ccbacked Under | 68c | 81.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 30c | 73.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9281…264dbacked Over | 33c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea95…15e6backed Over | 33c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Over | 33c | 40.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…121bbacked Over | 33c | 33.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 30c | 33.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 41c | 25.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Over | 54c | 21.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 78c | 16.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)Barça eSports won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs BRUTE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 1Barça eSports won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs BRUTE - Game 1 WinnerBarça eSports won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs BRUTE - Game 2 WinnerBarça eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.