Lol · resolved market
LoL: Barça eSports vs BRUTE - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x859f42631ee62255fae04890ea0c90984d11505e1a8444b82d68d4423fd8d6c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSportsof Barça eSports, BRUTE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,346 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BRUTE | 14c | 2,924$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.6 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked BRUTE | 17c | 399.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 613 | 43.6%267 W · 346 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BRUTE | 9c | 229.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BRUTE | 9c | 215$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed BRUTE | 15c | 203$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 1,813 | 39.1%709 W · 1,104 L | -30.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BRUTE | 9c | 179$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked BRUTE | 15c | 153.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 848 | 40.8%346 W · 502 L | -39.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed BRUTE | 9c | 152$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed BRUTE | 15c | 133.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d068backed BRUTE | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BRUTE | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Barça eSports | 77c | 87.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cd…fdb2backed BRUTE | 17c | 85.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed BRUTE | 26c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Barça eSports vs BRUTE - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)Barça eSports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs BRUTE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 1Barça eSports won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs BRUTE - Game 2 WinnerBarça eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.