Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1788d5bcd2f7320d451c2c32be2825b5e07f1eac06235e3f1cc2955ccfabb241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,116 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97b3…e107backed Yes | 50c | 7,442$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d5…d9e0backed No | 50c | 7,287$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…faf3backed No | 50c | 7,022$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…d2d2backed Yes | 50c | 6,862$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 4,470$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.22 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 52c | 2,923$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.96 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 48c | 1,081$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.02 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 46c | 550.12$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.84 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 169.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 45c | 67.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Yes | 52c | 58.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd985…1125backed No | 53c | 35.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 56c | 34.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 53c | 33.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 31.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…9ec5backed Yes | 50c | 20.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.