CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: Nemiga vs. M80
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17d49a7b4a6c359ba9fa540dea992c0029a9a8ffe6844a6c56e646d45491a6ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed M80 | 49c | 14,753$7,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,280.4 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Nemiga | 50c | 5,321$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.5 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Nemiga | 51c | 4,905$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.45 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…f348backed M80 | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nemiga | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked M80 | 47c | 2,000$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.92 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Nemiga | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Nemiga | 51c | 1,179$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.82 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nemiga | 51c | 966.28$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.48 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Nemiga | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Nemiga | 53c | 614$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…c51dbacked M80 | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Nemiga | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Nemiga | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Nemiga | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked M80 | 43c | 262.34$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c2…7382backed Nemiga | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Nemiga | 59c | 194.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Nemiga | 73c | 170.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed M80 | 39c | 152.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Nemiga | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…8d7dbacked M80 | 19c | 112.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Nemiga | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked Nemiga | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…6139backed Nemiga | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed Nemiga | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…1927backed Nemiga | 70c | 15.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.