NHL · resolved market
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x185d931ef1ac9e782a00c8795fd159462e55eacb66f01b0540ade0d71623cd6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Panthers, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0323…77e4backed Panthers | 44c | 2,619$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…3d0fbacked Predators | 56c | 2,619$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 61c | 989$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.66 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Panthers | 39c | 984$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.61 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 40c | 369$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Predators | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Panthers | 46c | 290$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Predators | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Panthers | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Predators | 54c | 247$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Predators | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Panthers | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Predators | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Panthers | 41c | 32.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b41…b8f3backed Panthers | 44c | 32.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Panthers | 40c | 30.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Predators | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Predators | 60c | 22.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. PanthersPredators won
- Predators vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.