Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1892c845108340fe235f577ee5ea59d95b06c508733a29690a3611440cd21eab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof Nemiga Gaming, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Nemiga Gaming | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 4,861$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.51 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Nemiga Gaming | 1c | 3,567$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 1,093$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.27 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 632.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 558.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 550.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 540.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Nemiga Gaming | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 463$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 339.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…2412backed Nemiga Gaming | 13c | 287.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 257.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 234.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 209.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 200.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 177$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BetBoom Team | 80c | 175.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked BetBoom Team | 80c | 174.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 174.56$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 140.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 133.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 102.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 90.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 83.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 54.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked BetBoom Team | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)Nemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.