CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18d7b2cdeb3076e85a781bd2ab1cff7726e0809307d128947b15eae425420a56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Monte, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 7,889$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.68 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Monte | 36c | 6,195$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.63 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Monte | 37c | 3,676$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.99 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 1,275$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.11 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 634.91$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 476.19$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed Team Nemesis | 78c | 354.59$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Monte | 19c | 285$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Monte | 39c | 262.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 225$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Monte | 37c | 211.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Monte | 39c | 152.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Monte | 38c | 109.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Monte | 39c | 105.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Monte | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 152 | 41.4%63 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Monte | 37c | 86.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Monte | 38c | 83.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed Monte | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…e1b9backed Monte | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Monte | 37c | 66.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed Monte | 39c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 50.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Monte | 36c | 44.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…a183backed Monte | 37c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Monte | 51c | 33.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…376fbacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 24.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 164 | 57.9%95 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 16.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…8e65backed Team Nemesis | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group StageTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.