Lol · resolved market
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18eb73641b681af45ec0ac5f7c07d8589a02d0ef37ea242956fd4b45c5068f04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UB Alma Materof FALKE Esports, UB Alma Mater
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed FALKE Esports | 66c | 2,153$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.31 | 409 | 70.2%287 W · 122 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed UB Alma Mater | 51c | 1,846$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.01 | 1,813 | 39.1%709 W · 1,104 L | -30.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed UB Alma Mater | 36c | 1,489$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.57 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed UB Alma Mater | 35c | 1,412$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.24 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked UB Alma Mater | 38c | 1,173$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.99 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed UB Alma Mater | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked UB Alma Mater | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.25 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FALKE Esports | 37c | 944.42$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.66 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed UB Alma Mater | 61c | 164.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked UB Alma Mater | 36c | 164$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…f788backed FALKE Esports | 55c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed UB Alma Mater | 37c | 54.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FALKE Esports | 72c | 22.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked UB Alma Mater | 63c | 18.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Kick-off Group AUB Alma Mater won
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 WinnerUB Alma Mater won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.