Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Eastern Washington Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x190d952a802e52afefe9e10d5a439caba0e50b04213f4289b4bc362c50ddbabf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Washington Eaglesof Sacramento State Hornets, Eastern Washington Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Sacramento State Hornets | 28c | 914.69$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.72 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Sacramento State Hornets | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 30c | 369.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…b307backed Sacramento State Hornets | 7c | 264.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 72c | 244.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 71c | 218$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 75c | 179.54$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 70c | 169$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Sacramento State Hornets | 30c | 168.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 70c | 159$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Sacramento State Hornets | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 68c | 95.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sacramento State Hornets | 28c | 91.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 74c | 84.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ef…1906backed Sacramento State Hornets | 17c | 82.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sacramento State Hornets | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 74c | 25.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sacramento State Hornets vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesthis page
- Spread: Eastern Washington Eagles (-5.5)Eastern Washington Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.