South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x192e4587715e06f6315ced776deee26d88c0aaded06f710f3027ad35ed7cba52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 25c | 6,043$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 44c | 3,587$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.5 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 3,290$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 56c | 2,586$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.71 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 56c | 1,695$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.72 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 1,554$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,248$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.63 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 64c | 1,245$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.95 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 951.4$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.06 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 662.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.53 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…c95fbacked Yes | 45c | 450.36$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 256.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 39c | 255$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 222.26$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 40c | 214$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 45c | 204$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Yes | 45c | 195.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 184.86$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 155.09$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes | 44c | 78.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 61.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 59.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…814dbacked No | 56c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…8024backed Yes | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed No | 56c | 34.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed No | 75c | 22.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will CA Talleres vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.