South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1afb45b5329fb51df227a039aa41e0455579245dbc9f14222751e9703918d62f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,250$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.45 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 22c | 1,220$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.2 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6baf…e76bbacked Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 587.98$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 78c | 579.69$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 22c | 309.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 78c | 299.97$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…6bb4backed Yes | 22c | 290.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 231.36$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 163.19$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 17c | 129.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 20c | 106$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 106$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 70.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…5c25backed Yes | 22c | 58.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 47.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…5b98backed Yes | 22c | 46.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 78c | 38.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 36.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 22.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…58e9backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will CA Talleres vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.