Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PSV vs. AZ end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19af581e8c124a79fb458a42912253a18d9a382079111d2355fe479e657860f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,661 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 3,442$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.14 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 26c | 1,540$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 23c | 1,500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 25c | 1,218$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.48 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 51c | 731.81$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.82 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 16c | 510.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 506$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 225.36$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 24c | 215.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 159.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 152.41$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 17c | 146.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f59abacked No | 75c | 91.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 78.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 49c | 70.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 68c | 68.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…de43backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 59.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…e309backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 49.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 27c | 49.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…5daebacked Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 60c | 26.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed No | 78c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2660…8aa9backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV vs. AZ end in a draw?this page
- Will AZ win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will PSV win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.