Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rochester: Benjamin Willwerth vs Joaquim Almeida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19bc90b30b1065ac8e6422d2a4e1cd9052c1b7d9def80d368945f5afa07e3e07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Benjamin Willwerthof Benjamin Willwerth, Joaquim Almeida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507c…85efbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 45c | 8,571$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,738.24 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joaquim Almeida | 60c | 5,048$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.2 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 35c | 3,718$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.41 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joaquim Almeida | 67c | 2,475$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.25 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Joaquim Almeida | 55c | 2,184$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Joaquim Almeida | 60c | 549.44$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.6 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Joaquim Almeida | 63c | 491.79$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.23 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Joaquim Almeida | 69c | 359.42$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Joaquim Almeida | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Joaquim Almeida | 67c | 255.23$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Benjamin Willwerth | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Joaquim Almeida | 15c | 241.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Joaquim Almeida | 57c | 172.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Joaquim Almeida | 60c | 168.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Joaquim Almeida | 57c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Joaquim Almeida | 60c | 80.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Joaquim Almeida | 60c | 69.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Joaquim Almeida | 51c | 58.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 42c | 49.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Benjamin Willwerth | 48c | 48.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Joaquim Almeida | 32c | 46.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…b6a0backed Benjamin Willwerth | 68c | 40.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Joaquim Almeida | 66c | 18.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.