Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Julieta Pareja vs Lanlana Tararudee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a49965255a12f067bc9a904fa9d27e111da7da9b4e742787fdf02009b695eae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lanlana Tararudeeof Julieta Pareja, Lanlana Tararudee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lanlana Tararudee | 77c | 4,478$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.62 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Julieta Pareja | 24c | 3,293$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.43 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Julieta Pareja | 34c | 2,911$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.13 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Lanlana Tararudee | 76c | 1,710$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.97 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 77c | 1,455$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.93 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Julieta Pareja | 24c | 750$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lanlana Tararudee | 72c | 472.37$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lanlana Tararudee | 67c | 453.69$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.62 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Julieta Pareja | 32c | 414.58$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Julieta Pareja | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Julieta Pareja | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Lanlana Tararudee | 68c | 312.49$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Julieta Pareja | 37c | 271.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Lanlana Tararudee | 67c | 218.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Julieta Pareja | 25c | 201.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Julieta Pareja | 22c | 168.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Julieta Pareja | 31c | 157$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lanlana Tararudee | 74c | 156.37$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Julieta Pareja | 29c | 150.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…67ebbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 67c | 134$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lanlana Tararudee | 76c | 127.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Julieta Pareja | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Lanlana Tararudee | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lanlana Tararudee | 68c | 85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Julieta Pareja | 30c | 74.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 57c | 73.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Julieta Pareja | 27c | 69.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 63c | 68.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Lanlana Tararudee | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Lanlana Tararudee | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lanlana Tararudee | 77c | 43.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Lanlana Tararudee | 74c | 41.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Lanlana Tararudee | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Julieta Pareja | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…50e2backed Lanlana Tararudee | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Lanlana Tararudee | 68c | 26.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Lanlana Tararudee | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Lanlana Tararudee | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.