WNBA · resolved market
Wings vs Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a794d38aa4c3ce31ca65140b727e87f2927fc24b969aa9095bafede160fb762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stormof Wings, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Wings | 52c | 4,381$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 20c | 3,060$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.95 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Storm | 47c | 2,254$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.91 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Storm | 51c | 2,112$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.41 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Storm | 80c | 1,821$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Storm | 63c | 1,424$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.1 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Storm | 80c | 1,228$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.27 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Wings | 58c | 601.59$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.09 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Storm | 52c | 542.85$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wings | 20c | 499.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Storm | 48c | 274.92$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.21 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Storm | 44c | 259.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Storm | 44c | 254.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.09 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Storm | 43c | 253.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.42 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Storm | 50c | 228.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…61b0backed Storm | 77c | 226.33$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Storm | 79c | 196$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wings | 28c | 177$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Storm | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Storm | 56c | 140.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Storm | 16c | 126$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +206.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Storm | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cc…2669backed Storm | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Storm | 80c | 96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Storm | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Storm | 51c | 83.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Storm | 47c | 61.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Storm | 79c | 47.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Storm | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Storm | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.