Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Boston College Eagles vs. SMU Mustangs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ab1706841b83937a1f3d7010faed641b449ef1401093d5f63343504581ea628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SMU Mustangsof Boston College Eagles, SMU Mustangs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Boston College Eagles | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Boston College Eagles | 17c | 1,270$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.56 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston College Eagles | 10c | 998.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Boston College Eagles | 9c | 996.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Boston College Eagles | 15c | 870.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Boston College Eagles | 8c | 562.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Boston College Eagles | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Boston College Eagles | 9c | 488.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Boston College Eagles | 11c | 410$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Boston College Eagles | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf084…4b0ebacked Boston College Eagles | 6c | 222.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Boston College Eagles | 8c | 222.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Boston College Eagles | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston College Eagles | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Boston College Eagles | 20c | 89.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Boston College Eagles | 18c | 61.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed SMU Mustangs | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked SMU Mustangs | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston College Eagles vs. SMU Mustangsthis page
- Boston College Eagles vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 150.5Over won
- Boston College Eagles vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.