TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Córdoba CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,721 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over46c4,999$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.730446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c2,843$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.833,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under43c1,277$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.0814647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c1,005$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.54,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49561657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over52c599.94$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.151,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2204755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Over55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Over68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over61c180.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under67c104.32$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4328847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6362744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over33c94.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.068537.6%32 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.758549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.511962.2%74 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Over54c40.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.821118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-71%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109722.7%22 W · 75 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under30c35.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2217032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010761.7%66 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over75c29.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2234050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over61c18.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.011,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.